António José Seguro Leads with 30.8–35.2% of Votes According to Pitagórica
Early exit poll projections by Pitagórica, reported by TVI and CNN Portugal, show António José Seguro, backed by the Socialist Party (PS), leading the presidential race with between 30.8% and 35.2% of votes.
André Ventura (Chega) follows with an estimated 19.9% to 24.1%, and João Cotrim de Figueiredo with 16.3% to 20.1%.
These figures suggest that the election most likely moves to a second round if no candidate achieves an absolute majority. Henrique Gouveia e Melo and Luis Marques Mendes are projected to receive only between 9.2%–12.4% and 9.1%–12.3%, respectively, placing them outside contention for the runoff.
Smaller Candidates and High Abstention Could Influence Second Round Outcome
Other candidates, including Catarina Martins (0.9–2.7%), Manuel João Vieira (0.7–2.3%), and António Filipe (0.4–2%), trail significantly behind the front runners. Early projections also show a high level of voter abstention, which could play a decisive role if the election proceeds to a second round.
Election officials have yet to confirm official results, and analysts note that these early projections may shift as counting continues. The high abstention and fragmented vote suggest that coalition-building and voter mobilization will be key in the potential runoff.
Source: Diário de Notícias Madeira
Comments