Madeira’s Development Crisis: GDP Rises, Incomes Fall

Madeira’s Development Crisis: GDP Rises, Incomes Fall

Stats don’t lie. Madeira's GDP has nearly doubled the Portuguese average, yet disposable income decreased - a development eroding society.

Madeira’s GDP Has Quadrupled from €1.7 Billion to €6.99 Billion Since 1995

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Madeira, Portugal's autonomous region, has increased significantly over the past 28 years. From €1.77 billion in 1995, it grew to €6.99 billion in 2023, marking a quadrupling of the region’s economic output.

GDP Expected to Exceed €8 Billion by the End of 2025

According to a recent report from the Regional Directorate of Statistics, Madeira’s economy continues to grow and is expected to exceed €8 billion by the end of this year.

While Madeira’s GDP has shown consistent growth, the report highlights that there were fluctuations, particularly during the 2009-2013 economic crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, which caused temporary declines. Nevertheless, the region has shown resilience, and its GDP growth has been steadily rising in recent years.

We have a middle class that is getting poorer, and why? Because inflation is very high, salaries have not kept up with the inflation rate, and taxes need to be significantly reduced.

José Manuel Rodrigues, back then President of the Regional Legislative Assembly of Madeira (2019-2025), RTP Madeira

GDP Per Capita in Madeira Increases From €7,200 to €27,400

Madeira’s GDP per capita has also seen significant growth. In 1995, the GDP per capita was just €7,200, but by 2023, this had increased to €27,400. This growth in income per person reflects the region's overall economic development.

The regional government has pointed out that these improvements in GDP and GDP per capita come as a result of structural changes in the economy, including a growing focus on services and tourism, which have outpaced the more traditional industries such as agriculture and manufacturing.

Disparity Index: Despite Exceptional GDP Growth, Madeirans Lose Disposable Income Nationwide

However, the Disparity Index shows the full picture of Madeira's economic development, highlighting the stunning development of the gap between Madeira and Portugal’s disposable household income.

Despite much better GDP numbers, Madeira is falling further behind in terms of gross disposable income per inhabitant, which in 2021 was at the lowest ever and new numbers have not yet been released.

This is happening even though Madeiran economic output per inhabitant, adjusted for inflation and compared with the Portuguese average, has increased substantially over time.

  • Gross Disposable Income (GDI) per inhabitant: Average income households have after taxes and social contributions, available for consumption or saving, reflecting economic well-being per person.

  • Disparity index of GDI (PT=100): Measures household income differences relative to Portugal’s average (set at 100), indicating regional or social income inequality. It shows that Madeira's relative economic performance has not kept up with the national average, so the phrase "loses traction" is appropriate in this case

  • RGDP per Inhabitant: Measures the total economic output (real GDP) produced per person, adjusted for inflation, indicating individual economic productivity in a region.

  • Disparity Index of RGDP per Capita (PT=100): Compares a region’s RGDP per capita to Portugal's average (set at 100), showing relative economic performance and productivity differences.

Year

RGDP per inhabitant in Madeira

Disparity index of the RGDP per capita (PT=100)

Gross Disposable Income of households per inhabitant in Madeira

Disparity index of the GDI of households per inhabitant (PT=100)

1995

7.200

81.5

6.645

101.9

1996

7.700

82.0

6.945

101.8

1997

8.400

82.9

7.507

104.1

1998

9.400

86.0

8.029

102.7

1999

10.300

87.8

8.380

101.0

2000

11.200

89.6

8.691

99.4

2001

11.500

87.7

9.202

100.9

2002

12.900

94.0

9.936

104.4

2003

13.400

95.6

10.349

105.8

2004

14.400

98.9

10.887

108.1

2005

15.100

100.2

11.033

105.2

2006

15.800

100.0

11.395

105.3

2007

16.400

98.7

11.631

102.8

2008

16.900

99.5

12.465

106.1

2009

16.300

98.5

11.865

100.6

2010

16.600

97.6

11.685

97.5

2011

16.700

100.0

11.536

98.4

2012

15.400

96.3

11.202

97.6

2013

15.800

96.9

11.015

96.5

2014

16.200

97.1

10.878

95.2

2015

16.700

96.5

11.154

94.0

2016

17.500

97.0

12.131

98.3

2017

18.800

98.8

12.498

97.8

2018

19.400

97.4

12.985

97.3

2019

20.200

96.8

13.362

95.8

2020

17.500

89.9

12.893

93.8

2021

19.800

94.3

13.544

93.6

2022

23.700

100.6

not released

not released

Comparing Madeira’s Rise in GDP with the Portuguese Average

Madeira's GDP has grown by 295% since 1995, compared to Portugal’s 168% increase over the same period. Madeira’s contribution to Portugal’s overall economy thus accounts for 2.6% of Portugal’s total GDP, up from 2.0% in 1995.

However, between 1995 and 2021, the average disposable household income in Madeira fell by 8.3% compared to the national average in Portugal, highlighting a significant loss in relative economic well-being.

This disparity index proves that despite impressive GDP growth, the benefits are exceptionally unevenly distributed. Despite the extreme economic success, outpacing the Portuguese average, income levels have even failed to keep up.

Country

GDP in 1995

GDP in 2023

Increase (%)

Madeira

€1.77 billion

€6.99 billion

+295%

Portugal

€105.3 billion

€282.0 billion

+168%

United Kingdom

$1,340

billion

$3,380 billion

+151.7%

France

$1,590 billion

$3,050 billion

+91.3%

Germany

$2,590 billion

$4,520 billion

+74.5%

These numbers are not only a threat to social cohesion, they reflect a change that is set to destroy society over time. We are already seeing early developments: the questioning of democratic institutions and a desperate, radical turn away from the values of the Third Republic toward populism.

Sources: RTP Madeira, Estatistica.madeira.gov.pt

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