Housing Loans in Madeira Grow 30%, Wakening 2008 Crisis Risks

Housing Loans in Madeira Grow 30%, Wakening 2008 Crisis Risks

Madeirans borrowed €570 million, mostly for buying homes, a 30% increase from 2023. Experts warn that high debt levels could trigger 2008-style risks if property values drop or incomes and interest rates change.

Housing Loans With 100% Financing Create Worries for Young Real Estate Buyers

Loan data for Madeira shows a total of €570 Million borrowed, which is a 30% increase compared to 2023. Most of the credit granted in Madeira went to the purchase of primary homes, supported by programmes that offer full financing and tax exemptions for young adults. The Bruno Tavares, a financial specialist interviewed by RTP Madeira, warned that these conditions may hide future risks.

Our young people, on one hand, are having the advantage of 100% financing and tax exemption, but on the other hand, they are buying homes that may be a bit above price

Bruno Tavares, RTP Madeira

He explained that even a small drop in the housing market could create a situation similar to 2008, when loans were higher than the value of the properties.

When the State announced this measure, this was one of the banks’ concerns that is, if the market fell, what would happen to these young people?

Bruno Tavares, RTP Madeira

Banks Raised 2008-Style Concerns When the State Announced the Measure

These concerns were present from the beginning. When the government introduced the full-financing measure, banks questioned how borrowers would cope if property values fell.

Madeirans requested around 570 million euros from the bank

The expert described it as “probably the biggest risk the banks may face here,” noting that families may not be able to rely on current public support if the market changes.

Effort Rate Too High, Average of Five Loans Puts Extra Weight on Budgets

Statistics show an average of five loans per consumer:

  • one mortgage

  • two personal loans

  • two credit cards

This combination is stretching monthly budgets across Madeira. Debt-to-income ratios (Effort rate) are now rising above recommended levels. The expert called the situation “a bit worrying,” stressing that families are taking on commitments that may be difficult to maintain if incomes fall or interest rates shift.

Source: RTP Madeira

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